Friday, September 12, 2008

Damage Repair And Preakness Winner Bold

At last, the nitty gritty:
1. 1% of bone cells damaged per breeze/race added to the 4% under construction.
2. 30 days to repair each damaged cell.

Again, the concern, instead of the 1% (which is very small KH--essentially I agreed with the professor), is cumulative effect over the 30 day period: 1% +1% +1% and so on.

In this sense let's roll back the clock to April 1951 and take a look at 30 days of works for 1951 Preakness winner Bold, trained by Preston Burch:
4/21: 4f in :49
4/24: 6f in 1:13
4/27: 3f in 36.1
4/30: 2f in :24 sloppy track
5/1 (next day) 8f in 1:40 2/5
5/4 6f in 1:12
5/8 4f in :47.3
5/9 (next day) Raced 1 1/16 mile in 1:45 (won by 12 lengths)
5/13 3f in :35 (4f in 49.1)
5/14 (next day) raced 1/16 mile in 1:44 (beaten by a neck--bad ride complains Burch)
5/15 shoes pulled. sore feet. (hmmm.)
5/18 4f in 47.4
5/19 (next day) Won Preakness.

12 breeze/race in 28 days. Hard to believe. But, now we have some perspective. Is Burch, based on these last posts, possibly, vis a vis the training of Bold, playing with fire? Indeed, after 5/19/51 there would be neither a Belmont or a "next 30 days" for Bold. Here are Burch's comments:

"After the Preakness, Bold was returned to Belmont Park. He ran out in a prep race for the Belmont Stakes and was found to be suffering from a sore shin and sore splint." In the summer of 1952 when he was nearly ready to return to racing, Bold was killed by lightning while in a paddock at the farm".

They turned him out after the next race. Wise move we'd think as the jock getting on next, had he read this blog, might be getting a little nervous. For confirmation, next post I'll look at similar prep for 1946 KY Derby winner Assault.

Training:
Wed. 9/10: Art gallops quick riderless for 10 min. Rod off with sore hind feet.
Thurs. 9/11 I walk out of the office at 5pm to water puddles from afternoon rains. I'm about to call it off, but then there's Bill O'Gorman who observed you might wanna train today because tomorrow could be worse. Since Art was only scheduled to trot today due to yesterday's fast work, I proceeded. The rain stopped by the time I arrived, and Art was trotted under tack 1.5 miles on soft ground stopping for occasional walks. Rod looks better with his morning dose of Bute. I'm suspecting now bruises on the hinds instead of abscess. Abscesses cause limping, and the horse is walking freely this afternoon. Good news (I think.). Hurricane Ike on the way, and we can hardly wait.

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