Acceptable Bone(Cell) Damage

Bill, note KH comment. I'm unable to paste the thing or make either URL come up, which is why I train horses. I can build a computer but unable to make it work! Pictured, Overdose-Scarborough-My Poppet. Note Nureyev connection, and think Mien! OD is September 2008 Tattersalls Horse of the Month. Cost 2000 guineas at their December 2007 sale. There is hope!

But, on to the big stuff, acceptable bone cell damage, which we avoid confusing with acceptable bone damage, an oxymoron(for my mother--there's no such thing as acceptable bone damage.)

Max cell damage we can tolerate per last post is 14% from Burch's 10 breezes/month. Presume everyone agrees that going to 15%,16% on up we'd avoid. And, as noted by Winston, if we have a 30 day repair process that would be other than a concern as we'd stay at some variation of 14% damage--which is VERY INTERESTING.

However, for myself, I'd doubt that I can accept 14% damage. Seems to me too close to teetering on the edge of a definite fracture line somewhere, and I'm fairly sure I'll look at Burch very carefully in this light. What is acceptable to me? I've given it some thought. I'd doubt I could consider more than 7 or 8% damage.

For anyone that has followed this amazingly closely, how can we do Burch type training at 7 or 8% damage under the theories here? Unable, of course, BUT we can certainly do a variation.

Take this example: We've just raced. We can now breeze every 3 days for the next 12 days and still have only 8% damage. At that time we can back off in any of a number of ways--speed, distance, rest etc. and still stay on track with Burch fairly closely.

MOREOVER, and here is the biggy, if we're afraid of Burch training, can we train our horse as Max Hirsch trained Assault? To clarify again: 1% damage results from :12 sec/f. Assault type workouts in :12.5 to :13 will do very little "cell" damage under these theories, though you'd probably have to read more of this blog than you want to reach that conclusion.

Next post: how soon can we go, then on to how often MUST we go for race appropriate fracture resistance.

More Overdose. Mien is by Nureyev and is the dam of Big Brown. Scarborough, sire of OD is by Soviet Star who is by Nureyev.

Training:
Tues. 9/23 Normal Off.
Wed. 9/24 A 1 inch (unpredicted) rain off.
Thurs. 9/25: discipline flags again, and I'm caught on the phone discussing horses into 6 p.m. Get to the farm too late to ride, but it's just as well. It's still very wet. All we could have done was trot. So, both horses go riderless. It's just dry enough in the paddock. Rod loses a shoe after 3-4 min. Damn. He's out of there. I try to slow down Art due to lack of speed work of late, but he goes pretty hard for the conditions and conditioning for about 10 min. Decent work under the circumstances. Good weather ahead!