Wednesday, September 17, 2008

How Assault Affects The Hypothesis




1946 Derby winner Assault, pictured, with a striking similarity in his appearance to what I have in my back yard. Have they really become more fragile? Left click to enlarge to evaluate the appearance of a conditioned horse

This summarizes the nice story of Assault.
http://www.spiletta.com/UTHOF/assault.html

Assault was finally retired at age 5 when he became a bleeder. The handling of Assault poses questions as to my hypothesis of the last several posts. Assault, unlike Preston Burch's Bold, did survive an amazing workout schedule through the entire racing year of 1946. Thus, in terms of injury prevention, what knowledge can we gain by looking at Assault?

The basic hypothesis of the prior posts:
1. Each breeze/race damages to varying degrees 1% of cannon bone cells.
2. It takes up to 30 days to repair the damaged cell, depending on amount of damage.
3. We are thus concerned with cumulative effect of damaging 1% of cells each work.

The assumptions:
1. Conditioned bone. (Bone unconditioned for the event will be covered later.)
2. Racing speed of :12/f.
3. 120-130 lbs on the horse.

(work interferes. i'll finish this one later.)

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