Hennig Revision

Reading my last(now deleted) post, the weather is getting to me, or worse. Let's try again. Hennig the subject. Hennig's work is a little harder nut to crack than some of the others, and I'm enjoying trying to make some sense of this 370 horse stable.

The Hennig sample of 35, last post, expands to 43 by adding the non-maiden horses that raced in July. 43 horses non-maiden racers out of 370 thus racing in the prime racing moths 5/1 to 8/1 which is 12% of the stable. I'm thinking--that's horrible. Then I remember. Is it but 20% of any foal crop that ever wins a race, and 10% win two races? Hennigs stats in this regard probably are close to average.

The key Hennig stat for the subject at hand--injury prevention-- is that 43% of his 43 racers survive the year on the website. I will give Hennig very little rope with the sample as these were other than the sort of horses that would be moved or taken out of racing unless there was injury. We'll stick Hennig with a 43% survival rate for the year putting him midway between Doug O'Neill's (godawful--can we say it now?) 21% and Catherine Day-Phillips real decent 65%.

Hennig training methods that get these results, next post.

Training: still off with the weather. With all the precip coming in I'm preparing an Ark, but early January weather is looking good.