Day-Phillips--Another Look

Day Phillips Website:

http://www.catherinedayphillipsracing.com/trainers/cdp/index.cfm

Is Day Phillips with her nice injury rate a "conventional trainer"? Was my 35% injury rate calculation accurate? A 2010 look at the website of C. D. Phillips. Again, give every benefit of the doubt and hold the trainer to what they post.

Day Phillips is pegged as "conventional" by her training in 2008 of the good horse True Jean. Follow the below training schematic closely, you'll see the point:

http://ratherrapid.blogspot.com/2008/12/true-jean.html

How is Day Phillips doing these days?

Of her 16 that I looked at in December 2008, five of those horses raced in 2010. That's 5/16th or 32% which is totally consistent with pegging her in 2008 with a 35%/year permanent injury rate (pats self on back).

The 2008 survivors with their 2010 results:

Short Shorts--3 claimers finished 7th each time and retired.

True Jean--5 races, best finish at 4th

Victory Pass--2 races one of which was a maiden win.

Read the Stars--4 races, all claimers, finishing 4,3,3,3

Fashion Jenny--3 races--2 of them wins! Claimers.

You begin to see the "owner" problem in our sport. Let's say you bought a $25,000 horse in 2007, paid $25,000,00 to Day Phillips to train the horse and had another $5000 in expenses, what would you get? Probably--nothing--except by blind luck. Of the 2008 horses looked at, one won a race in 2010, and the combined number of 2010 races for the 2008 horses is 17. That's 1 race per horse in 2010 for the 16 2008 horses. Recall that Day-Phillips has the "best" conventional trainer injury rate analyzed. The closer you look the more unbelievable it gets.

Next post will take a look at the Day Phillips 2010 stable.

Training:

Fri. 12/24: riderless 7 x 4f with some fast spurts.

Sat-Sun 12/25 and 26 Off. Very cold.