Gemologist
Looked better on the track than coming off the trailer. Tiznow. Mr. Prospector mare. Floats over the track, beautifully efficient stride. And, surmise by the breeding that G can breathe and has speed. I was fairly impressed with the Wood Memorial, unlike the "experts" at Daily Racing Form. That was a nice effort coming off an allowance race, 2d race of the year , 4th lifetime start. What more might they have been expecting?
Does the undefeated G have a shot? I'd say the weight and size of this horse is a handicap for him in terms of cardiological and lactic acid cost factors. G, similar to I'll Have Another, has the equipment to move it, but also shows lesser training--although, this seems a little better job this year by Plecher than what generally shows for that trainer.
G's work tab + there was an allowance race 3/16 and the Wood on 4/7.
http://www1.drf.com/workoutsForHorseAction.do?rNo=09000374
4 works per month since 2/1 which is what i have available at slightly faster than normal Plecher speeds, and then he does a 50 second 4f work the Sunday before the Derby presumably due to mud at Palm Meadows. Likely needs to do something significantly more this week. Will be interesting to see how this talented horse performs off of that light a final work.
Nice vids on T. Times yest. of most of the field galloping. I compared the gallops. Eliminate as non-competitive--Triniberg, Alpha, El Padrino, Liason, Rousing Sermon, Optimizer who appear to lack the goods in terms of natural talent, and Take Charge Indy due to the training. This narrows the field to 13. I am going to also eliminate the most talented horse with a strong caveat--talent can out in the Derby regardless. I remember Barbaro. Union Rags who I've watched on several occasions maybe--possibly--lacks natural competitiveness. They have probably trained a little better than what shows. Somehow--and I am unsure of this--UR just fails to look as if he's about to run the race off his life, and so I am eliminating Union Rags from my board also. Even if he puts in a big run, I see UR getting nipped near the wire. Did they need to breeze and gallop this horse in company to make him competitive???
Does the undefeated G have a shot? I'd say the weight and size of this horse is a handicap for him in terms of cardiological and lactic acid cost factors. G, similar to I'll Have Another, has the equipment to move it, but also shows lesser training--although, this seems a little better job this year by Plecher than what generally shows for that trainer.
G's work tab + there was an allowance race 3/16 and the Wood on 4/7.
http://www1.drf.com/workoutsForHorseAction.do?rNo=09000374
4 works per month since 2/1 which is what i have available at slightly faster than normal Plecher speeds, and then he does a 50 second 4f work the Sunday before the Derby presumably due to mud at Palm Meadows. Likely needs to do something significantly more this week. Will be interesting to see how this talented horse performs off of that light a final work.
Nice vids on T. Times yest. of most of the field galloping. I compared the gallops. Eliminate as non-competitive--Triniberg, Alpha, El Padrino, Liason, Rousing Sermon, Optimizer who appear to lack the goods in terms of natural talent, and Take Charge Indy due to the training. This narrows the field to 13. I am going to also eliminate the most talented horse with a strong caveat--talent can out in the Derby regardless. I remember Barbaro. Union Rags who I've watched on several occasions maybe--possibly--lacks natural competitiveness. They have probably trained a little better than what shows. Somehow--and I am unsure of this--UR just fails to look as if he's about to run the race off his life, and so I am eliminating Union Rags from my board also. Even if he puts in a big run, I see UR getting nipped near the wire. Did they need to breeze and gallop this horse in company to make him competitive???
posted by rather rapid at
12:06 PM
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1 Comments:
RR-
Did you see the recent Beyer/DRF piece that essentially concluded that Baffert is king because he works his horses further and faster than anyone else?
Also, the conclusion was that because of this conditioning that Bodemeister was more likely to avoid the bounce - Baffert worked him twice in 5 days after arriving at CD.
Conversely, just like So You Think in last years BC, and whomever Coolmore ran in last year's KD - Daddy Long Legs comes to town on Tuesday and merely has one jog day over the strip before post time.
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