We Call In The Detective

Sherlock was "famous for his intellectual prowess, and is renowned for his skillful use of deductive reasoning while using abductive reasoning (inference to the best explanation) and astute observation to solve difficult cases." Given the importance of our subject and its frequent sad similarity to solving a crime, perhaps Scotland Yard will let us borrow Mr. Holmes for a few posts.

First we ask the good detective what we have available for, really, we'd like to KNOW what is going to happen instead of sending our two year old filly out there to see if she'll break her leg.

I'd expect Mr. Holmes to apply science to criminal investigation, and remind us of our scientific method, if I can recall it:

hypothesis
theorem
investigation
establishment of scientific law or fact

This is specific to general, and we may imagine that for bone remodelling we'd want to look at an individual cannon bone and see precisely what happens over time within the bone structure itself resulting from various exercise protocols.

We may also go general to specific to come up with some ideas. I hinted at this last post in discussing various trainers, and may we term our study of various trainers as similar to "population studies" were we observe the effect of particular phenomena in the general population.

Probably there's 50 other ways to look at this that I'm omitting due to ignorance. However, I think the above methods will suffice, and I'll struggle with them best I can.

First up will be the population studies. Believe we can draw some significant conclusions by closely examine a few of the training programs that have been published, including some of those discussed in the early days of this blog, next post.

Training:
Fri. 10/10: Off

Sat. 10/11: Art: 1.6 miles in :17s. Rod: 1.6 mile trot with 4 short gallop sequences.
Sun. 10/12: After galloping we were planning a riderless 1/2 mile breeze all out. Art: 1.6 miles with about a mile of it in :17s. This smaller (as opposed to small) horse is just recently into :17s, which is clipping along, and it was decided he'd done enough for today. We're hoping to get in another one tomorrow before the rain. Rod: 1.6 miles of which about 1/3 was canter. We did attempt 4 x 2f fast riderless with Rod who was decidedly lazy after his tack work. Got speed work with him "sort of". He'll be good to go again Monday though, if we have dry ground.