Thursday, January 08, 2009

Bruce Jackson

In search of a trainer for your $3000/month training bill? How about this from Bruce Jackson's Website at

http://www.brucejacksonracing.com/trainers/bjackson/


"...My wife Amy is my chief assistant and in addition, oversees the breaking and early handling of the yearlings and young horses. Together we decided to focus on a smaller operation where nutrition, exercise, health and racing programs could be tailored for each individual horse.
We would not just train one way, but would let each horse rise to its full potential on its own program."


Sounds good! Although, positive statements negatively stated as in "We would NOT just train one way..." run counter to casting things positively, but, I quibble. Does the Jackson operation deserve glowing description?



Jackson shows 88 horses. 18 of the 88 Jackson horses raced 6/1/08 to 10/7/08. That's 18 during 4 months of prime racing season or 20% of the stable. For 2008 these 18 racers had 82 races or 4.55 races per horse. Very little to brag about so far.

How many of the 18 survived the year without injury: 6 or 33%. This gets more dismal yet. For your $3000 you'd rather have more than a 20% chance your horse will race less than 5 times and if they race a 33% chance of surviving the year?

Does Jackson deserve any slack, or will we hold him to his stats. I'm tempted to grant Jackson more slack than most. He trains at Fairhill and has to ship. This is always a pain and we'd guess they might pass on races they would enter if they were located at a track.

Moreover, as the above statement notes, there are a lot of developing youngsters in this stable, and several of the 18 racers were maidens or started out as such. We may imagine a careful trainer trying to tailor programs might hold some back some perfectly healthy horses for development purposes that a lesser trainer might enter in a race. In granting this stable slack we'll also say at any one time 10 to 15 horses will be out or have been moved for reasons other than injury.

If there are 30 yearlings and 2 yr. olds Jackson has 18 of 58 racing. We subtract about 15 more for non-injury reasons and that's 18 of 43. Count in all other factors and Jackson probably has 50% of his racing. Less than great, but, we've seen worse. I'll revise the survival rate after I look at the workouts. This and how Jackson trains, next post.

Training:

Tues. 1/6: Mile trot-gallop under tack for each + 1.5 miles continuous riderless snappy.
Wed. 1/7: A night when all goes well. Oh, if we only had 30 more days of this. 33 degrees, semi frozen ground, but we manage a nice 1.25 mile gallop for each horse and 3 x 3f riderless at near max speed with the 3yr. old (about whom we have some worries) extending himself a bit, finally.
Thurs. 1/8 Rest

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