Good Betting Race Coming

The old handicapping bloodhound is sniffing the DRF PPs and the old heart going pitter patter over what looks like one of those infrequent super betting opportunities that come along.  2012 Belmont.  Pocket a $1000 on this superfecta, possibly?????  First another look at the IHA training.

Mike Welsch--DRF report yest.--put the clock on I'll Have Another.  Indeed--exactly as visually estimated last post--quarter pole to wire in slightly faster than :14s (:27 and change).  Yesterday after the wire the colt went 2 more F in about :12.75.

What we see in operation is the worst trainer of many this blog examined closely from fall of 2008 on in operation.  O'Neill has learned nothing and we can--imo--safely chalk the prior training of IHA up to pure accident. Sometimes these conventional trainer dogs ratchet up their work, and that's what we saw with IHA.  Then, like all most all of them, they back off when they need to keep on.  I recall Hardspun's 2008 (I believe was the year):57 work prior to the Derby and a nice Derby.  The horse never did that again for his training idiot, and of course never performed that well again.

We recall Big Brown and Dutrow basically just stopping his training between Preakness and Belmont.  If u were reading this blog the Belmont performance before the pull up was predicted.

IHA of course is doing some work although imo it's utterly inappropriate.  Do u at least gallop the horse 1.5 miles a day for a 1.5 mile race.  What does O'Neill--and apparently the rest of the civilized world--think that 4f a day--2 of the in :14s and 2 of them a little faster--is going to get u in the Belmont?

Then there's that the horse is working every single day--no rest.  I'll avoid conjecturing on that one.  Something to be gained, I am supposing, and also something being lost.

The bottom line is that imo IHA is going to finish behind Dullahan in the Belmont and possibly behind Union Rags.  If this eventuality occurs, the Belmont is going to be a terrific terrific betting race.  Superfecta time babeeee!!!!

4 horses in this race should basically leave the others.  Am doubting Paynter is in the class of the the top three, though he's Baffert trained and therefore expect a good effort.  Some combo of Paynter, IHA, Union Rags and Dullahan is going to be the top 4.  If it's an upset might be one of the nicer--and surer--superfecta opportunities.