More Derby
In terms of handicapping the derby, or for training our horses, can we get anything out of watching the Derby horses gallop--see last post? After watching every last one of them, and wish there were more and that they showed gallops start to finish--I am unable to say anything other than that all the horses look very decent. Probably I'd have to watch two or three times to note subtle differences, and, am tempted to do that if I have time.
First one I watched was Black Onyx. Impressive, till u watch the rest. Comparitively Black Onyx a lesser talent, probably. Just on the fly, after seeing them all in motion, a few things I recall:
Plecher horses breezing--indeed they're reporting 5f breezes but breezing a mile. The new Plecher. Watch old Plecher Derby vids and those breezes stop sharply at the finish line. And also, the times are faster than the Plecher of old even if I am other than a fan of bringing those horses down the stretch nose to nose without pressing them at all.
Fairly safe bet imo one of Plecher's will win the Derby and, other than than by sheer numbers. Combine these works comparatively with what the others do + the new Plecher without pony warm up noted by Bill Pressey--Plecher's will have such an advantage one of them is bound to win.
Most impressive horse to me: Verrazano, even though it's close. I could see him running away from the field. Big, strong, powerful galloper with some speed and conditioning. And, he'll be warmed up going into the gate.
Orb: as everyone I am impressed with his stride. Old Phipps breeding with champions up and down the pedigree--but then I have $2000 horses in my back yard with the same. And we know that McGaughey can engage in the sort of training that wins big races. Yet, I think McGaughey likely out dated, and Orb will have the disadvantage of being limited to 4f breezes. I think that will get to Orb down the stretch and he'll be unable conditioning wise to withstand charge of the Plechers.
Continue next post.
Training: Monday thought for first time this month we'd have a dry warm week. Happened to Wednesday. Today blizzard blowing in from N.W. and enough precip to drown us for two days. So it goes in KC. Encouraged by #17s sudden growth spurt. He pop finished second in the Ark. Derby and #17 is a spitting image. Looks the part now. 1 month to #148 training to start. #17 has been tacked every day + nice riderless gallop Wed. Have found a place to gallop at speed which is encouraging.
First one I watched was Black Onyx. Impressive, till u watch the rest. Comparitively Black Onyx a lesser talent, probably. Just on the fly, after seeing them all in motion, a few things I recall:
Plecher horses breezing--indeed they're reporting 5f breezes but breezing a mile. The new Plecher. Watch old Plecher Derby vids and those breezes stop sharply at the finish line. And also, the times are faster than the Plecher of old even if I am other than a fan of bringing those horses down the stretch nose to nose without pressing them at all.
Fairly safe bet imo one of Plecher's will win the Derby and, other than than by sheer numbers. Combine these works comparatively with what the others do + the new Plecher without pony warm up noted by Bill Pressey--Plecher's will have such an advantage one of them is bound to win.
Most impressive horse to me: Verrazano, even though it's close. I could see him running away from the field. Big, strong, powerful galloper with some speed and conditioning. And, he'll be warmed up going into the gate.
Orb: as everyone I am impressed with his stride. Old Phipps breeding with champions up and down the pedigree--but then I have $2000 horses in my back yard with the same. And we know that McGaughey can engage in the sort of training that wins big races. Yet, I think McGaughey likely out dated, and Orb will have the disadvantage of being limited to 4f breezes. I think that will get to Orb down the stretch and he'll be unable conditioning wise to withstand charge of the Plechers.
Continue next post.
Training: Monday thought for first time this month we'd have a dry warm week. Happened to Wednesday. Today blizzard blowing in from N.W. and enough precip to drown us for two days. So it goes in KC. Encouraged by #17s sudden growth spurt. He pop finished second in the Ark. Derby and #17 is a spitting image. Looks the part now. 1 month to #148 training to start. #17 has been tacked every day + nice riderless gallop Wed. Have found a place to gallop at speed which is encouraging.
posted by rather rapid at
11:42 AM
.jpg)
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
Subscribe to Post Comments [Atom]
<< Home