More Doug O'Neill Stats

Pictured: A Doug O'Neil trainee.

Below are 23 randomly selected Doug O'Neil horses with respect to number of works/races for the whole year 2008. The random selection involves taking the first 23 horses raced after 8/1/08. Non-racing animals were omitted.

Note O'Neil lists 332 total horses on his website, and so I've looked at about 10% of the listed stable. Hopefully we can absorb the trainer's overall methods from this many horses. Additionally, the blog will look at O'Neil's Breeder's Cup contingent by Saturday.

The aim is to look at other than PERFORMANCE. Instead, we seek to find a relation between total number of works/races for each horse over a period of time and whether those horses are injured in the time frame with a goal to calculate how many times per month we'd have to w/r to avoid injury. This stable provides a nice and large sample.

With all the stats available, there are unknowns:

1. What O'Neal does on slow gallop days. O'Neal being similar to Pletcher, you'd guess his horses gallop every other day averaging 1.25 to 1.5 miles, i.e. light slow gallop work. I'd guess also that they lope along in :18s-:20s. The above photo of an O'Neil horse is but one rat, but an obviously unconditioned one indicating the light galloping. But, ultimately, what O'Neil does with off days and how this might figure in is unknown.
2. "Whys and wherefores" with each horse are unknown. The plan and various interruptions we may only guess at.

What did we find with O'Neal?

1. The average of all the horses listed below in terms of how many works/races they had for the year 2008 is: 2.88 over a 30.5 day period.
2. 12 of the 23 horses are still going currently.

I'll look at the Breeders Cup horses tomorrow and summarize soon. Our training below.


The stas

A Lil Dumani

1/14-10/22 Here is a sample calculation which will be abreviated for the rest. A Lil Dumani had 17Breezes + 6 races = 23 works/racesworks/races in 9 months = 274 days. 274 divided by 23 = a work race every 11.9 days on average or 30.5 days divided by 11.9 = 2.56 works/races per month.

Atticus Jack(age 2)

7/7-10/13 9B + 1 race = 10 in 3.33 months = 2.96 race/works/month.

Azul Leon (age 2) --Azul reappears 10/18. Was he hurt or did they decide to give 27 days between fast works? Last prior had been 9/21. Looks as if
Azul gets 1 breezes after 9/21 to Breeder's Cup.

4/7-10/25 12 B + 5R = 17 W/R over 6.6 months = 2.61 w/r/month.

Chief Teddy Bear

5/26-9/24 8 B+ 3R = 11 B/R in 4 months = 2.8 w/r/mo.

Coco M (age 2)

8/1-10/9 3B+ 4R= 7w/r in 2.33 mo. = 3 w/r/mo.

Doggie Bear(age 2)

6/9-10/11 13B+3R= 16w/r in 4 months = 4 w/r/mo.

Good Shot Mally(injured?)

1/16-8/15 11B+ 2R = 13 w/r in 7 months = 1.9 w/r/mo.

If Not For You

4/7-10/12 13B+5R=18 w/r in 6 months = 2.95 w/r/mo.

Justice Is Brief

1/6-8/16 4W+10R=14 w/r in 7.33 months= 1.9w/r/mo.

Laddies Poker

9/3-10/13 5W+1R=6w/r in 1.33 months = 4.41w/r/mo.

Magnific

1/7-9/3 (none between Jan. and May) 13W+2R= 15 w/r in 3 months= 5w/r/mo.

Invisible Edge

5/26-10/9 11W+3R=14w/r in 3.5 months = 4w/r/mo.

Mistical Plan

2/25-8/24 11W+5R=16w/r in 6 months = 2.67w/r/mo.

Mr. Chairman

2/18-10/5 10W+7R=17 w/r in 7.5 months = 2.68w/r/mo. Mr. Chairman, a hard knocking allowance horse has the best record of this bunch. Superb animal. Compare w/r with the stakes filly Mistical Plan. Query whether Mr. C's class might improve e.g. if the speed workload were doubled. Somehow he's survived on light work whereas Mistical plan expired.

Presidential Cause

4/25-9/5 6W+5R=11w/r in 4.33 months =2.51 w/r/mo.

Princess Arjumand(lasted whole year to 8/20. One of the few.)

1/12-8/21 14W+8races= 22 w/r in 7.33 months = 3 w/r/mo.

Raja Daja

8/10-9/17 2W+2R=4w/r/ in 1.33 months = 3 w/r/mo.

Richer Gear

6/16-10/13 10W+3R=13 w/r in 4 months = 3.25 w/r/mo.

Royal Humor

1/30-9/20 (None in April) 9W+8R=17 w/r in 6.66 months =2.54w/r/mo.
Royal Humor breaks maiden after multiple tries, runs one more decent race then falls off the table.

Sandita

6/21-9/8 4W+4R= 8 w/r in 2.66 months = 3 w/r/mo.

Swiss Current (Stakes filly who made it through the year. Zero wins but she survived.)

1/22-9/25 (none in June and July) 15W+9R= 24 w/r in 8 months = 3 w/r/mo.

Tizmet

5/4-8/20 (none in June) 5B+ 4R=9 w/r in 3.5 months = 2.57 w/r/mo.

Yankee Visionary (this probably is a late comer to the barn as he was racing in August, and so info on breezes seems incomplete, so, we'll leave him out of the overall stats.)

9/17-10/1 2B+3R= 5 w/r in 2 months.

Training:
Wed. 10/22: Off. Its raining during training hours, and has been for last 24 hours. probably 2 inches over 24 hours and 5 of last 8 days rain. But, we're ok up to now, and it looks as if dry weather coming.