Belmont
What a nice racing shaping up! Since I'm struggling putting together my next "injury" post, a few Belmont impressions for the fun of it. I have yet to look closely at the race, but, have followed these horses. Maybe will post a handicap of the race before post time. Initial and cursory thoughts.
1. Dunkirk: yesterday's Blood Horse video shows questionable physical condition, then Haskin today writes D "had to" gallop Thurs. as all he's done is "jog" and walk the shedrow since the last powder puff breeze. Probably they think the talent will gallop away from the field. My thinking: Pleacher has yet to adapt to post steroids.
2. Charitable Man: That was quite an impressive Peter Pan. Better glance at the PPs before rendering an opinion. Hmmm. Lightly worked horse, out to lunch trainer. Probably more likely to be injured than perform. Throw him out.
3. Mr. Hot Stuff: should be dangerous. I'ts maybe a little much to expect a polytrack horse to run on dirt for the first time in the slop at Churchill.
4. Chocolate Candy: would be shocked if he does anything but run well.
5. Summer Bird: trainer seems to have some ability.
6. Lukas Horses: Last breeze 9 days out. DW '90s stuff. Throw out.
7. Zito's Horses. will miss their steroids.
8. Mine That Bird: would think MTB behind the 8 ball due to the powder puff breezing since May 16(Edit: and here I'm looking at Calvin's last breeze taking it way past 4f!). Can a horse retain any speed on two :50 breezes in almost a month? Probably to a degree, but, vulnerable to a charge by a more recently conditioned animal. They've got those consistent, and apparently strong, 2 mile gallops putting MTB ahead of the field with basic fitness. We'll be seeing what that gets. But, really thinking the jock factor's the thing. Anybody watched Borel at Churchill of late? Doubt I've seen better riding in my 20+ years. Calvin will accurately measure this field. Will take some doing to beat the jock here, never mind the horse.
Contenders: MTB, Hot Stuff, Candy, Summer Bird. Probably Hot Stuff and Candy are more talented horses thant MTB. Is Hot Stuff trained for 1.5 miles? Knowing Eion Harty, probably otherwise. Without handicapping, on just bare impressions: predict Candy and MTB close to the wire and better jock prevails by a note.
1. Dunkirk: yesterday's Blood Horse video shows questionable physical condition, then Haskin today writes D "had to" gallop Thurs. as all he's done is "jog" and walk the shedrow since the last powder puff breeze. Probably they think the talent will gallop away from the field. My thinking: Pleacher has yet to adapt to post steroids.
2. Charitable Man: That was quite an impressive Peter Pan. Better glance at the PPs before rendering an opinion. Hmmm. Lightly worked horse, out to lunch trainer. Probably more likely to be injured than perform. Throw him out.
3. Mr. Hot Stuff: should be dangerous. I'ts maybe a little much to expect a polytrack horse to run on dirt for the first time in the slop at Churchill.
4. Chocolate Candy: would be shocked if he does anything but run well.
5. Summer Bird: trainer seems to have some ability.
6. Lukas Horses: Last breeze 9 days out. DW '90s stuff. Throw out.
7. Zito's Horses. will miss their steroids.
8. Mine That Bird: would think MTB behind the 8 ball due to the powder puff breezing since May 16(Edit: and here I'm looking at Calvin's last breeze taking it way past 4f!). Can a horse retain any speed on two :50 breezes in almost a month? Probably to a degree, but, vulnerable to a charge by a more recently conditioned animal. They've got those consistent, and apparently strong, 2 mile gallops putting MTB ahead of the field with basic fitness. We'll be seeing what that gets. But, really thinking the jock factor's the thing. Anybody watched Borel at Churchill of late? Doubt I've seen better riding in my 20+ years. Calvin will accurately measure this field. Will take some doing to beat the jock here, never mind the horse.
Contenders: MTB, Hot Stuff, Candy, Summer Bird. Probably Hot Stuff and Candy are more talented horses thant MTB. Is Hot Stuff trained for 1.5 miles? Knowing Eion Harty, probably otherwise. Without handicapping, on just bare impressions: predict Candy and MTB close to the wire and better jock prevails by a note.
posted by rather rapid at
10:24 AM
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