Friday, May 15, 2009

More Preakness

RR streak of never being ill came to an end. I spent the last couple of days staring at a wall as the only thing I was capable of. To keep up the blog, a few thoughts after reading Preakness articles and seeing the videos:

1. Friesan Fire: Watching him gallop, does he seem a little short on ability compared to some others?

2. Papa Clem: Right in there.

3. General Quarters: Grossly undertrained. Talented though!

4. Flying Private: The quote was to the effect: an unusual Lukas breeze between Derby and Preakness. Lukas responding to competition, perhaps. Fluid moving, graceful striding colt. Unless he has a breathing problem, would he at some point show something?

5. Luv Gov: 10 races, a pre-Preakness breeze. Ok, developmentally.

6. Musket Man: Would they make a bush league trailer trip from Monmouth to Pimilico at 2:30 a.m. Saturday morning (night) if they intended to win this race? Sleep. Throw him out. Too bad. My other thought: surely the time posted for that trip was a misprint.

7. Mine That Bird: So now Woolley claims holding MTB back in the Derby was his idea. It's possible. Watching the MTB races he has that quick spurt, but has trouble matching strides with larger horses. Seems then the available spurt needs to be well timed. Can Mike Smith accomplish the task? BUT, if Woolley does another 2 mile gallop under 175 lbs Friday morning its academic. Will fail to recover. Same mistake as Nafzger 2 years ago. Should sanity prevail and they do something race appropriate the day before, MTB (very) competitive?

8. Pioneer Of The Nile: Visually looks less tight than might be expected. Nagging, minor concern.

9. Rachel: predict she'll be outkicked in the stretch. Caveat: same as the RR 8 Belles prediction. 8 Belles to me had more talent than this horse. Watching Rachel gallop she has that nice classic flowing ground flicking stride. I had one like that once. They bounce across the track. But, this all changes in the drive as a different stride is required there. Since this filly has never been trained to "drive" you'd question whether she'd be able against this sort.

10. Big Drama: like FF, a little short of these.

11. The rest: there's one in their by an obvious training idiot(edit: who I just saw on video as a heck of a nice fellow. wish them the best, but calls 'em as we sees 'em.). Stall's horse looks (way) short of having done enough.

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