Throw Out I'll Have Another
(Edit--Bill Pressey Comment--Bill--here's the link--fairly revealing and intriguing Doug O'Neill Interview starts to memory around the 5 m. mark. Link at bottom of page. O'Neill fairly obviously recently read Preston Burch's book, or, indeed perhaps he is reading our blogs and the unkind things we have written. For reasons set out below, unfortunately doubtful he learned much. Fairly obviously O'Neill is hardly the villain Paulick report tries to portray. Smart educated guy who likely falls in that 75% having little intuitive sense about athletics.)
What % of the human race has any logical concept of the results of their actions. Be assured, right now, in muggy hot Louisville half of these horses are stuck in the 20 mph convection of air coming from multiple fans pointed right at them, where they will sit unable to get away from the stream of air till they leave their stalls.
Little stuff. Put the fans where the horse can use it, and point it so the horse can get away from it when it wants. And for u blithering idiots still blaring radios outside your stalls at an animal that can hear a pin drop at half a mile may your eternal punishment be to have that same radio plastered against your ear for all time as a reminder of your kindness to your horses. End of rant.
Point made however that many times things the public never sees affect performance. From Pressey's weather report we have both a tough day to perform and likely horses whose rest was disturbed and in particular those close to the track that had to listen to Butch Lear running his tractors all night. Ever try sleeping next to an 18 wheeler with the diesel running?
I became intrigued last night and watched a lot of TC races. Saw most of the horses, missed a few. Some final observations?
1. So, by the Blood Horse, John Asher of Churchill is a handicapper and claims wet track conditions will help Gemologist and Union Rags. That would be contrary to my theory that you never bet large hoofed or heavy horses if the track is sticky in the slightest since the bigger hoofs carry twice as much mud per stride. We saw all the big good ones fade for that reason in the Mine That Bird Derby. If the track is sticky put ur money on the Liason types, light small hoofs that will motor through the mud, and the light hoofs on the front without the mud on them (Hansen).
2. Other than Remington Park I have yet to see better surfaces for wet weather than in Ky.
3. Hanson, pound for pound, might be the king of this field. What a spit fire, watching his races. Likely they've done too little with him. One of those that should benefit from wet track or deep going.
4. I'll Have Another. Had another 2 min. gallop yest. Obviously O'Neill learned nothing reading about Assault. Last work 10 days out, and week of Derby the horse gallops 2 min. and faster every single day. Be amazing if he'll have anything left today, and I just hope he makes it through instead of becoming another of that stable's casualties.
5. Union Rags--Normal track, he's my last minute pick. Watching the races, man among boys. Training job likely decent enough Zenyatta like build.
6. Bodemeister--Watching Ark. Derby how could u bet against this horse. Yet, sometimes things go too well. That was a weak field, never pressed, his day. Lacks experience, looking a tad worn to me, but who knows. Very Storm Cat like horse. He's going to be tough. Will benefit from off track.
7. Field--ok, now I see it. The depth is almost zero weak horses.
8. Daddy Long Legs, nice horse. I was underwhelmed by the Dubai effort. 1 gallop in last 4 days. Behind the 8 ball.
9. Daddy Nose Best--being overrated. Ok horses who won against inferior.
10. Went The Day Well. Tiznow brood mare very nice horse who in this stable would have to overcome his training. Failed to do enough to last, probably.
11. On a normal track I'd expect Hansen, Bodemeister, Gemologist, and Union Rags to be duking at the end. I'll Have Another will win in a run away if he has anything left. Doubtful he does.
Links
Doug O'Neill at about 5 min mark. Revealing interview.
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/videos/11331/and-theyre-off-ky-derby-edition?section=and-theyre-off
And one of my favorites:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gp5JCrSXkJY
What % of the human race has any logical concept of the results of their actions. Be assured, right now, in muggy hot Louisville half of these horses are stuck in the 20 mph convection of air coming from multiple fans pointed right at them, where they will sit unable to get away from the stream of air till they leave their stalls.
Little stuff. Put the fans where the horse can use it, and point it so the horse can get away from it when it wants. And for u blithering idiots still blaring radios outside your stalls at an animal that can hear a pin drop at half a mile may your eternal punishment be to have that same radio plastered against your ear for all time as a reminder of your kindness to your horses. End of rant.
Point made however that many times things the public never sees affect performance. From Pressey's weather report we have both a tough day to perform and likely horses whose rest was disturbed and in particular those close to the track that had to listen to Butch Lear running his tractors all night. Ever try sleeping next to an 18 wheeler with the diesel running?
I became intrigued last night and watched a lot of TC races. Saw most of the horses, missed a few. Some final observations?
1. So, by the Blood Horse, John Asher of Churchill is a handicapper and claims wet track conditions will help Gemologist and Union Rags. That would be contrary to my theory that you never bet large hoofed or heavy horses if the track is sticky in the slightest since the bigger hoofs carry twice as much mud per stride. We saw all the big good ones fade for that reason in the Mine That Bird Derby. If the track is sticky put ur money on the Liason types, light small hoofs that will motor through the mud, and the light hoofs on the front without the mud on them (Hansen).
2. Other than Remington Park I have yet to see better surfaces for wet weather than in Ky.
3. Hanson, pound for pound, might be the king of this field. What a spit fire, watching his races. Likely they've done too little with him. One of those that should benefit from wet track or deep going.
4. I'll Have Another. Had another 2 min. gallop yest. Obviously O'Neill learned nothing reading about Assault. Last work 10 days out, and week of Derby the horse gallops 2 min. and faster every single day. Be amazing if he'll have anything left today, and I just hope he makes it through instead of becoming another of that stable's casualties.
5. Union Rags--Normal track, he's my last minute pick. Watching the races, man among boys. Training job likely decent enough Zenyatta like build.
6. Bodemeister--Watching Ark. Derby how could u bet against this horse. Yet, sometimes things go too well. That was a weak field, never pressed, his day. Lacks experience, looking a tad worn to me, but who knows. Very Storm Cat like horse. He's going to be tough. Will benefit from off track.
7. Field--ok, now I see it. The depth is almost zero weak horses.
8. Daddy Long Legs, nice horse. I was underwhelmed by the Dubai effort. 1 gallop in last 4 days. Behind the 8 ball.
9. Daddy Nose Best--being overrated. Ok horses who won against inferior.
10. Went The Day Well. Tiznow brood mare very nice horse who in this stable would have to overcome his training. Failed to do enough to last, probably.
11. On a normal track I'd expect Hansen, Bodemeister, Gemologist, and Union Rags to be duking at the end. I'll Have Another will win in a run away if he has anything left. Doubtful he does.
Links
Doug O'Neill at about 5 min mark. Revealing interview.
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/videos/11331/and-theyre-off-ky-derby-edition?section=and-theyre-off
And one of my favorites:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gp5JCrSXkJY
posted by rather rapid at
12:10 PM
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1 Comments:
Thanks RR, gonna need that interview now!-
'Assault'- type training is going to win you big races, if you remain sound. A fine line there. But this isn't PETA - the objective isn't to have a sound, losing horse - but a winner on the knife edge of turning bad.
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