Saturday, May 04, 2013

RR 2013 Derby Choices

 On Planet Moro Plecher wakes up May 4 after dreaming he finished 1-2-3-4-5 in the Derby.  Almost did it in the Oaks.

I wound up looking closely at the race.  Learned a lot more from rewatching the preps than watching the few gallops that show.  Could write a book, but will avoid lengthy analysis.  Some horses were eliminated last post. 

I had a fairly clear handicapping idea that Golden Cents would lead most of way, get ragged in late stretch and get run down by Verrazono. or Revolutionary.  Verrazano would be my choice on a fast track.  Looks like another great horse in the making.

On mud--which seems likely looking at Louisville forecast:  small hoofed front runners have great advantage.  I'd have to think Golden Cents will win and win easily on mud, though maybe challenged at the end by Java's War or Revolutionary.

There are so many good horses in this race.

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